Journal of Medical Screening > Volume 15, Number 4 > Pp. 163-174

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Predicting the impact of the screening programme for colorectal cancer in the UK

D M Parkin, Senior Epidemiologist  , Cancer Research UK Centre for Epidemiology, Mathematics and Statistics, Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Charterhouse Square, London EC1M 6BQ, UK

P Tappenden, Senior Cost-effectiveness Modeller/Health Economics and Decision Science , School of Health and Related Research (ScHARR), The University of Sheffield, 30 Regent Street, Sheffield S1 4DA, UK

A H Olsen, Researcher , Cancer Research UK Centre for Epidemiology, Mathematics and Statistics, Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Charterhouse Square, London EC1M 6BQ, UK

J Patnick, Director , NHS Cancer Screening Programmes, Fulwood House, Old Fulwood Road, Sheffield S10 3TH, UK

P Sasieni, Deputy Director , Cancer Research UK Centre for Epidemiology, Mathematics and Statistics, Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Charterhouse Square, London EC1M 6BQ, UK

View larger version (22K): [in this window] [in a new window]   Figure 1 Projections of age-specific mortality rates (per 100,000) for colorectal cancer in England: with and without screening (at ages 60–69 from 2007/2009 and 60–74 from 2010). (a) Males and (b) females

 

View larger version (20K): [in this window] [in a new window]   Figure 2 Projections of age-specific incidence rates (per 100,000) for colorectal cancer in England: with and without screening (at ages 60–69 from 2007/2009 and 60–74 from 2010). (a) Males and (b) females

 

View larger version (22K): [in this window] [in a new window]   Figure 3 Actual and projected age-standardized (European standard) mortality rates per 100,000 for colorectal cancer in England, with and without screening at 60–69 from 2007/2009 and 60–74 from 2010/2012

 

View larger version (58K): [in this window] [in a new window]   Figure 4 Annual numbers of (a) deaths from and (b) cases of colorectal cancer, with and without screening. Screening: 60–69 from 2007, 60–74 from 2010. 20% non-compliance, 60% attendance each round

 

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